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question about predictions


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I wonder how the predictions are set up.

For example, there is a 1/4 my Chelsea will beat Liverpool, 1/4 chance for a draw and 1/2 chance Liverpool will win (these numbers are just an example). Is it based on the total squad, the best 11 or the starting 11 that are on the screen at that moment?

Last season my chances were much higher than this year and our squads have only changed a bit. I understand it depends on the form and the home/away-advantage, but I'm trying to figure out where this difference comes from.

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