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Euro 2016 Betting Thread - Tales of Woe Guaranteed

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Thing is. Albania vs Romanie is gonna kick off pal. I predict both teams can still qualify when they play their final group match.

Though, we don't have Serbia or Bosnia here.

And again swinging the other way, there will be something riding on EVERY final group game due to the tournament format. Thus, more likely to be more red cards per game on average.

Nevertheless, I think your bet meets all the criteria: gives you an interest in in the last 27 games of the tournament, is NOT odds-on, is a prediction based on patterns. I like it a lot mate!

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Another plus point I've just thought of is the new "double jeopardy" rule. That could help. If the refs remember :D

The more I think about it the more I like that one.

Edit...

Just had another look at the betting and under 7 red cards is 15/8. Cant see their thinking here at all but I'm going to take advantage.

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Wales not to win a match at 6/4 sounds like an interesting one. Especially if they don't win that first game vs Slovakia.

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With the group games I normally look for the bet that was posted from the World Cup - think it was called the Gillsminnow bet

Three games

Choose one to win in each game

BTTS to score in each game

6 x doubles I think

If the teams you want to win score in each game you tend to get your money back, anything more is extra

Yeah man the Minnow Method bet :cool:

I still use it a hell of a lot. The odds for internationals are amazing for it too.

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I was going to put £10 on Italy as there odds look big at 16s however to take advantage of the free bet I think Portugal may be the better option at 20/1 looking at both teams groups, I'd expect Portugal to win at least one game in the group and they could potentially win all 3 whereas Italy have a really difficult group that could go either way, I'll definitely opt for one of those two though as the team I fully expect to win the tournament (Germany) are just too short @7/2 for me.

I went Italy at 17s in the end fwiw. Decided in the end that Portugal isn't really worth it, can't realistically see them lifting it even though they have the advantage of an easier group as just don't see them having that winning mentality whereas I can see Italy unspectacularly pulling off 1-0's all the way to the final & lifting it after pens or something.

I'd also hope that the harder group means Italy finish 2nd, believe that makes the road to the final a hell of a lot easier as it avoids Germany/France who will likely top their groups.

I also joined on the Janko & Bale top scorer bandwagon for outsiders, however, main will be on Giroud at 15s.

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Just put £5 on Portugal to win it.

I think that's a pretty good bet to be honest. I don't necessarily think you need a great team to go far in a tournament, as long as you have a 'match winner' in there. And they certainly have that in Ronaldo.

I quite fancy Sweden to do well if they can get out of their group, for the same reasons as I've said above. I noticed they were 10/3 against reaching the quarter finals. Which I thought were good odds. So I've put a few quid on that.

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Backed Portugal, Italy & Croatia (the latter with the SkyBet offer). Really fancy Croatia to go well, tough group, but if they can win the first two, I fancy them top the group

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I was looking at a few novelty bets and a couple have caught my eye, all with Stan James.

Total tournament goals - under 124.5 @ evens. It works out at an average of more than 2.44 goals per game which i dont think will happen, especially towards the end of the tournament. It doesnt count extra time either.

Total red cards under 7.5 @ 11/10. Again this is just in normal time.

I like the sound of the goals bet, the most goals scored in a 16 team format so far has been 85, been in the mid 70´s for the last three tournaments. Quite tempting to join you on this one.

I also like BTTS on the opening game, it stands at 3.00 and I think Romania can surprise France here, being a bit of an unknown and the expectancy on France adds extra pressure for them to do well especially as hosts and poor performances in recent tournaments.

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Got a bunch of random bets on but one that caught my eye was Ledian Memushaj to be Albanian top scorer at 20/1 on Bet365.

First thing that caught my eye was that he was as low as 8/1 elsewhere (a 12 point gap seemed unusually big) but a bit more research suggests he'll also be on free kick's and penalties when he's on the field which for a team who will potentially only score 1 or 2 goals in the tournament made 20/1 quite tempting.

Actually 365's Albanian top scorer market seems quite erratic, there's players they have at 50's when others have the same person at 14's, or players where they have awful odds compared to competitors.

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Finally found my way here! :D

I have backed Germany @ 4/1 with the Betfair offer. I expect them to get to the semis at least so there should be a few free bets coming my way. I also like Muller so will probably back him with one of the top goalscorer offers.

I also like the look of Portugal @ 18/1 with the Skybet offer. You would think they should win at least two of their group games and you just don't know how far they can go if Ronaldo is on form.

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Current bets:

Giroud top France scorer @4/1

Morata top Spain scorer @6/1 (made back in March)

Andone top Romania scorer @14/1

Ukraine to qualify from group @1/2

Spain to reach final @5/2

I think I'll probably add Austria to reach the quarters . Also tempted into some further Ukrainian action.

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Bets I've got on:

Antoine Griezmann Golden Boot winner £5 £65

Portugal to win Euro 2016 £5 £105

Under 125.5 goals to be scored £15 £27.50

England, France, Germany, Spain and Portugal to win their groups £5 £55.68

Both teams to score - France VS Romania, Ireland VS Sweden, Turkey VS Croatia £5 £55.13

Spain to beat Czech Republic, Germany to beat Ukraine, Portugal to beat Iceland £5 £17.38

France VS Romania - 1st goalscorer Antoine Griezmann £2 £10

France VS Romania - Nicolae Stanciu to score in 90 mins £3 £24

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Current bets:

Giroud top France scorer @4/1

Morata top Spain scorer @6/1 (made back in March)

Andone top Romania scorer @14/1

Ukraine to qualify from group @1/2

Spain to reach final @5/2

I think I'll probably add Austria to reach the quarters . Also tempted into some further Ukrainian action.

Stu - which bookies are offering 4s on Giroud?

You really like Ukraine then :) Or you reckon 3 points gets them through?

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Stu - which bookies are offering 4s on Giroud?

You really like Ukraine then :) Or you reckon 3 points gets them through?

The 4's were with 365 about a week ago, looks like the best price is now 7/2

I think in general Ukraine might be a bit underrated, I'm not so sure they're any worse than Poland overall and indeed as you say 3 points alone could well be enough to send them through.

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£10 on Germany

£1 on Muller Golden boot.

and whatever free bets I get from that tenner, will go on individual matches.

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Signed up to StanJames to take advantage of new joiner and top goal scorer offer...gone £10 Bale e/w and £20 on Ronaldo

They've bloody locked my account though so can't get back in until I prove who I am! :D

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Hahaha you love an acca!

He does and he seems to pull out some blinders too :thup:

Anyway, I have done all my pre-tournament bets:

Regular bets.

Italy to win @18s with Coral.

N Ireland to reach semi finals @100/1 with WH.

Bale top scorer @50/1ew with Stan James.

Double of England to win & Giroud top scorer @200/1 with SJ.

R Zozulya top scorer @250/1ew with BV.

Free bet deals.

England to win euros @8/1 with WH, free £5 bet each time they win.

Austria to win euros @40/1 with Skybet - free £3 bet each time they win.

Spain to win euros @5/1 with Ladbrokes - free £5 bet each time they win.

Rooney top scorer @40/1ew with SJ - free £5 bet every time he scores.

I have Muller & Germany in work sweepstakes which is why I never stuck any cash on them.

Also have a few group winner bets and other accys here and there but not listing all those too...

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Paddy doing Bet 20 Pre-Match on a team to win, get a fiver free bet for every goal they score

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Only on selected matches and own goals don't count, it's still a very good offer though.

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Seen this on Stan James. Probably similar odds elsewhere.

Anytime goalscorer France v Romania- Giroud 2.10

Anytime goalscorer Poland v NI- Lewa 1.91

Anytime goalscorer Germany v Ukraine Muller 1.91

A tenner returns £77. Decent shout I say.

Or on the other hand Griezzmann, Lewa and Gomez anytime scorer with tenner placed returns £85.91.

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Seen this on Stan James. Probably similar odds elsewhere.

Anytime goalscorer France v Romania- Giroud 2.10

Anytime goalscorer Poland v NI- Lewa 1.91

Anytime goalscorer Germany v Ukraine Muller 1.91

A tenner returns £77. Decent shout I say.

Or on the other hand Griezzmann, Lewa and Gomez anytime scorer with tenner placed returns £85.91.

Would've been better off placing it on 365 seeing as they void any 0-0 on anytime goalscorers for the Euros.

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Would've been better off placing it on 365 seeing as they void any 0-0 on anytime goalscorers for the Euros.

France will score though eventually :D

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Yeah man the Minnow Method bet :cool:

I still use it a hell of a lot. The odds for internationals are amazing for it too.

Looking at this for tomorrow but can only get 12 doubles or 8 trebles.

Have I done something wrong as thought it was 6 bets (trebles)

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Trebles is 8 bets (2x2x2)

Doubles is 2x2=4

Trebles is 2x2x2=8

4-Folds is 2x2x2x2=16

etc

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Ok, well I'm on the treble tomorrow - Switzerland, England and Wales. If each scored from memory I get money back.

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I like the sound of the goals bet, the most goals scored in a 16 team format so far has been 85, been in the mid 70´s for the last three tournaments. Quite tempting to join you on this one.

I also like BTTS on the opening game, it stands at 3.00 and I think Romania can surprise France here, being a bit of an unknown and the expectancy on France adds extra pressure for them to do well especially as hosts and poor performances in recent tournaments.

YAY! :-)

First bet of Euros has come in :D

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[quote=Vegard_R;10861214

Also backed Over 2.25 in France - Romania at 1.94

First one hits home

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Is the total goals for a team market on 365 just group goals or whole tournament?

Interesting that you asked this question, Chopra. I had noticed that Bet£3.65 had their numbers way out of line with other books for the Team Total Goals, but shifted markedly on Friday (tournament start day).

Freeth and his goons must have screwed up real badly, sitting on Czech Rep Total Tourney Goals Over 2.5 at 5/4 while Coral have the Under 2.5 at 5/4 !!!!

365 are now 8/13 the Over and a ball hasn't been kicked.

For info, they have messed up on Slovakia 11/8 to 8/11, Hungary 2/1 to 5/4, Republic of Ireland 13/8 to 4/5 and Ukraine 6/4 to 8/11. All of which they changed on Friday morning.

Personally, I hope they (365) get absolutely buried, as I was once a compiler for them and can tell you they are NOT a nice company to deal with.

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Had 20 on Germany to win, then had some on group winners (all favourites barring Portugal) and then teams to finish bottom of their groups.

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My biggest bet is on England and France double to win their groups. Also got money on Austria and Iceland to make the quarters. Plus a speculative bet on Italy to win it all.

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Have seen some new bookies offers today, signed up to take advantage.

Betstars - Place a £10 bet and get 3x£10 free bets

LeoVegas - Desktop only offer - Boost to make England 5/1 - paid as cash (£10 stake only) tonight, and then also noticed a mobile offer, place a £10 bet on your mobile, receive a £30 free bet.

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Is it better to put on as doubles or trebles?

Trebles is the most efficient way of using the method. Doubles is obviously safer.

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Betfair are doing a good offer for England. Place a goalscorer bet, Anytime or FGS, and if he scores 2 then they will treble the odds (topped up as free bets)

£10 on AGS on Kane would return £20 cash and if he scored again £20 of free bets

£10 on FGS on Kane would return £50 cash and if he scored again £80 of free bets

Have just used Kane as an example, but if he starts I think I will go for it. Max stake £10. Sportsbook only.

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Going to try and build a pot betting on singles and ensuring that even if I lose, I've still made a little bit of money.

Started last night with a tenner on France. Gave me £3-something so stuck £11 on Switzerland to win (used the other £2 on the 2-1000 challenge), giving me £20-something.

Now stuck £8.95 on BTTS in the Wales game. If it comes in I'm at a tidy £30+ profit already, if not then I'm up £2, which isn't great but it gives me some more money to bet later on the England game with.

Also had a few quid on Switzerland to win to nil, but wasn't counting that as part of this little pot I'm building. Was just a few spare quid left in my account. Probably will just have some interest bets with that money and if I lose it I lose it. Not too fussed about that. Maybe stick it on Slovakia to win, BTTS.

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Think Wales v Slovakia will be low scoring and have backed Under 1.5 @ 11/8 as such

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Going to try and build a pot betting on singles and ensuring that even if I lose, I've still made a little bit of money.

Started last night with a tenner on France. Gave me £3-something so stuck £11 on Switzerland to win (used the other £2 on the 2-1000 challenge), giving me £20-something.

Now stuck £8.95 on BTTS in the Wales game. If it comes in I'm at a tidy £30+ profit already, if not then I'm up £2, which isn't great but it gives me some more money to bet later on the England game with.

Also had a few quid on Switzerland to win to nil, but wasn't counting that as part of this little pot I'm building. Was just a few spare quid left in my account. Probably will just have some interest bets with that money and if I lose it I lose it. Not too fussed about that. Maybe stick it on Slovakia to win, BTTS.

Mines going nicely I started with a tenner, used £2 for my challenge, stuck a fiver on over 2.5 goals in the france game @ 11/10 and £3 on Giroud anytime @ 11/10. This put me up to £20.70. I then left my original tenner alone as well as my challenge money and stuck the rest on an over 2.5 goals double on the copa America games overnight. (£6.80 if anybody is bothered). My last bet was over 8.5 corners on Albania vs Switzerland.

TL;DR I'm £28.41 up after 4 games.

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Betfair are doing a good offer for England. Place a goalscorer bet, Anytime or FGS, and if he scores 2 then they will treble the odds (topped up as free bets)

£10 on AGS on Kane would return £20 cash and if he scored again £20 of free bets

£10 on FGS on Kane would return £50 cash and if he scored again £80 of free bets

Have just used Kane as an example, but if he starts I think I will go for it. Max stake £10. Sportsbook only.

Not bad, I'd probably do Kane as well.

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Mines going nicely I started with a tenner, used £2 for my challenge, stuck a fiver on over 2.5 goals in the france game @ 11/10 and £3 on Giroud anytime @ 11/10. This put me up to £20.70. I then left my original tenner alone as well as my challenge money and stuck the rest on an over 2.5 goals double on the copa America games overnight. (£6.80 if anybody is bothered). My last bet was over 8.5 corners on Albania vs Switzerland.

TL;DR I'm £28.41 up after 4 games.

Nice one! I'm now £22.17 up after 3, with a double of Switzerland/England still running :)

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Might employ the Minnow Method for the three games tomorrow. Only really N. Ireland I doubt to score but Will Grigg's on fire :D

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Got up to £36 profit after the Wales game after 3 out of 4 came in. Just put £20 on a 1/3 in the England game. Expecting a drunk inplay at some point so I might be upset tomorrow

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Minnow came in £27 from £10. Back on tomorrow with Germany, Croatia and Poland

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Paddy power have The bet £20 get free £5 bet for each goal they score on the Poland game today - might be worth a go that given Poland could cut loose

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Have seen some new bookies offers today, signed up to take advantage.

Betstars - Place a £10 bet and get 3x£10 free bets

LeoVegas - Desktop only offer - Boost to make England 5/1 - paid as cash (£10 stake only) tonight, and then also noticed a mobile offer, place a £10 bet on your mobile, receive a £30 free bet.

Cant find the bet stars one, got a link?

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Got giddy and did a £10 double on the copa america which lost. Still got £19.60 in the pot with a £5 treble on for today.

Still confused about the minnow method. Do you select 3 from the win line and then do the 3 btts?

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