gillsminnow Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 Has received death threats ffs. :D http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/football/world-cup-2010/teams/germany/7877152/Germany-v-Spain-Psychic-octopus-Paul-unfazed-by-death-threats-says-keeper.html Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
bomma Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 Hahaha, brilliant. Such an over-reaction Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fausto Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 haha we or he is lucky or dont know germany motivation aver paul went down i guess Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Venn Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 Certainly. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 Oh Paul, the price you pay for being right Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
PluckaDuck Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 World Cup icon. Wonder if he will go back to Germany for the Uruguay game.... Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barry Cartman Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 ffs he doesn't make the future, he just knows it Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Razzler Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 Born in England, apparently was our dear Paul, Weymouth in fact - at least we made some decent headlines in this World Cup. If Webb gets the World Cup final I think we can put this tournament down as a rousing success Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruud van Nistelrooy Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 Doesn't compare to the triumph of seeing our very own Simone Perotta lift the World Cup in 2006 though. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barry Cartman Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 Doesn't compare to the triumph of seeing our very own Simone Perotta lift the World Cup in 2006 though. More precisely Ashton Under Lyne, where I am right now Was a proud day Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Koki Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 Just out of interest... are there any scientific approaches to find out how Paul decides for a flag? Is it just random or has it maybe something to do with the colours? My theory was that he goes for the colour red in a flag, thus he decided to go for Germany (who incidentally won their matches then) unless the flag of the other country (Serbia, Spain) has the colour higher located on the flag. Err.. forgot about England. Maybe he is atheist and doesn't like crosses? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Razzler Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 Doesn't compare to the triumph of seeing our very own Simone Perotta lift the World Cup in 2006 though. Well, of course, there are magic moments then there are magic moments. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Razzler Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 He picked Serbia over Germany too Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
robbert_o154 Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 Just out of interest... are there any scientific approaches to find out how Paul decides for a flag? Is it just random or has it maybe something to do with the colours? My theory was that he goes for the colour red in a flag, thus he decided to go for Germany (who incidentally won their matches then) unless the flag of the other country (Serbia, Spain) has the colour higher located on the flag. Err.. forgot about England. Maybe he is atheist and doesn't like crosses? You're not really doubting the power of the octopus, are you? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barry Cartman Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 If I eat it will I gain its powers? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruud van Nistelrooy Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 I think there's a queue. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArsenalFan7 Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 That thing must just be getting extremely lucky... There's no freaking way a octopus could be psychic Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pires777 Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 iirc there was a physic octopus looking pokemon :confused: Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom14 Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 Do you mean Psyduck Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
robbert_o154 Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 That thing must just be getting extremely lucky...There's no freaking way a octopus could be psychic The odds of getting 6 in a row correct are 1,56%. Make of that what you will. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom14 Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 The odds of getting 6 in a row correct are 1,56%. Make of that what you will. What on Earth is 1,56%. You can't just make up numbers, and percentages! Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
robbert_o154 Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 Probability theory completely passed you by, didn't it? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom14 Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 Probability theory completely passed you by, didn't it? You say it like it's not a specialist subject. I just don't understand the format of 1,56%. What the hell does that mean?!? When you said 'the odds of getting 6 in a row correct are ...' I was expecting a fraction, not a formula. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
skybluedave Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 Some crazy Euros use , instead of . Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
bomma Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 Well, convert it in to a fraction then? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom14 Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 Some crazy Euros use , instead of . Oh I get it. He means 1.56%. I googled that as a fraction to 39/25 which still doesn't make sense to me as odds as I would have thought they would be way bigger than that. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
bomma Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 How the hell did you get from 1.56% to 39/25? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
robbert_o154 Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 I googled that as a fraction to 39/25 which still doesn't make sense to me as odds as I would have thought they would be way bigger than that. Ah, I see now that the use of the word 'odds' was likely misleading as you seem to be thinking of betting odds which wasn't what I meant. 'Chance' would have worked better, I suppose. If you have a bag with one red marble and one black one, and you pick one out of the bag 6 times, there's a 1.56% chance you pick 6 red ones in a row. This is basically the same thing. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
el sid Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 Oh I get it. He means 1.56%. I googled that as a fraction to 39/25 which still doesn't make sense to me as odds as I would have thought they would be way bigger than that. I would love to know how you got this Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom14 Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 How the hell did you get from 1.56% to 39/25? I just googled the phrase 'what is 1.56% as a fraction' and got this Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom14 Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 Ah, I see now that the use of the word 'odds' was likely misleading as you seem to be thinking of betting odds which wasn't what I meant. 'Chance' would have worked better, I suppose. If you have a bag with one red marble and one black one, and you pick one out of the bag 6 times, there's a 1.56% chance you pick 6 red ones in a row. This is basically the same thing. Gotcha Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
bomma Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 Yeah, that's using the value 156 not 1.56. Nice try though. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArsenalFan7 Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 The odds of getting 6 in a row correct are 1,56%. Make of that what you will. Is that actual fact or just a made up figure? He gets 2 options each time so getting it correct 6 times in a row could always happen to a "regular person" Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom14 Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 Yeah, that's using the value 156 not 1.56.Nice try though. Thank you. Absolutely zero effort went into it beside typing a sentence into google. What is 1.56% as a fraction then. Is it simply 100/1.56? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
bomma Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 Presume so. It can't be simplified anymore than that. I could be wrong though. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruud van Nistelrooy Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 Is that actual fact or just a made up figure?He gets 2 options each time so getting it correct 6 times in a row could always happen to a "regular person" Flip a coin and see how many times you get 6 heads in a row if you want to test the theory. Figure is correct, although there may be other reasons why the octopus is selecting the boxes as he is. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArsenalFan7 Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 Flip a coin and see how many times you get 6 heads in a row if you want to test the theory. Figure is correct, although there may be other reasons why the octopus is selecting the boxes as he is. Fair enough then, I just don't believe in the ability to be pyschic though. Especially a octopus, if this octopus is physic though (for whatever reason) then they should do something like putting out the boxes of the bundesliga teams and get Paul to predict the winner of the bundesliga. If he got that correct then I may start to believe in this octopus' ability Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
robbert_o154 Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 What is 1.56% as a fraction then. Is it simply 100/1.56? No, the other way around, plus you can't have decimals within fractions, so that would be 156/10000, or 39/2500, or (if you round it up) 2/125. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
georginho_juventusygr Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 Paul is an iconic figure. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericcantona7 Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 The chance of him getting all 6 right is not 0.156, because for the first 3 games there could've been a draw, and he had no option of picking a draw, had it been he'd have got one wrong (through no fault of his own), so it's impossible to quantify the odds of him being correct all the way through, because we don't know the real odds for a draw on these games (in a two way tie the odds of the result are irrelevant because you can have the result given, and the odds of him selecting that box are 0.5, then again I suppose we can take the first 3 games as given results and with that knowledge he has a 50/50 chance of getting it right, so in hindsight his odds were 0.0156, but prior to the tournament those would not have been his odds), if we were to assume that there's a 0.33 chance of a draw, then produces a chance of 0.0045, which is pretty slim. But I bet there loads of other animals out there who made predictions and were discarded after getting one wrong, that we'll never hear about. Anyway he's only got the Germany games right, he's not done the others, with Germany not being in the final I predict he'll get this one wrong. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
jack_man Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 Love how on SSN in the white box it says "Paul the octopus to predict the score in the world cup final" or something along those lines Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pukey Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 iirc there was a physic octopus looking pokemon :confused: Octillery? As if people are sending death threats ffs Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jongi Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 Just out of interest... are there any scientific approaches to find out how Paul decides for a flag? Is it just random or has it maybe something to do with the colours? My theory was that he goes for the colour red in a flag, thus he decided to go for Germany (who incidentally won their matches then) unless the flag of the other country (Serbia, Spain) has the colour higher located on the flag. Err.. forgot about England. Maybe he is atheist and doesn't like crosses? he chose Germany for Euro 08 and chose Spain this time round. So colour seems to be irrelevant. Ah, I see now that the use of the word 'odds' was likely misleading as you seem to be thinking of betting odds which wasn't what I meant. 'Chance' would have worked better, I suppose. If you have a bag with one red marble and one black one, and you pick one out of the bag 6 times, there's a 1.56% chance you pick 6 red ones in a row. This is basically the same thing. odds are percentages. so working out the likely percentage of an event is a thought in the starting point of odds. but then they start to get skewed by betting patterns. Anyway he's only got the Germany games right, he's not done the others, with Germany not being in the final I predict he'll get this one wrong. Has he actually predicted other games or has he always been doing German games? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericcantona7 Posted July 8, 2010 Share Posted July 8, 2010 just the German afaik. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
NMInter Posted July 9, 2010 Share Posted July 9, 2010 Will he predict the final or only the 3rd place playoff? EDIT - He'll predict both games. Live on national TV with commentators.. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlo116 Posted July 9, 2010 Share Posted July 9, 2010 I hope his owner has been putting bets on all the teams he picks, would be a waste if he hasn't imo. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orion Dean Posted July 9, 2010 Share Posted July 9, 2010 Rumour has it Paul sprayed ink into the linesmans eyes so Englands 2nd Goal was not awarded! Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meitheisman Posted July 9, 2010 Share Posted July 9, 2010 The chance of him getting all 6 right is not 0.156, because for the first 3 games there could've been a draw, and he had no option of picking a draw, had it been he'd have got one wrong (through no fault of his own), so it's impossible to quantify the odds of him being correct all the way through, because we don't know the real odds for a draw on these games (in a two way tie the odds of the result are irrelevant because you can have the result given, and the odds of him selecting that box are 0.5, then again I suppose we can take the first 3 games as given results and with that knowledge he has a 50/50 chance of getting it right, so in hindsight his odds were 0.0156, but prior to the tournament those would not have been his odds), if we were to assume that there's a 0.33 chance of a draw, then produces a chance of 0.0045, which is pretty slim. But I bet there loads of other animals out there who made predictions and were discarded after getting one wrong, that we'll never hear about.Anyway he's only got the Germany games right, he's not done the others, with Germany not being in the final I predict he'll get this one wrong. Actually, it's 0.0046 [/pedant mode] Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heartwork Posted July 10, 2010 Share Posted July 10, 2010 Apparently he got Euro 2008 wrong. So hopefully he'll be wrong here too. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
robbert_o154 Posted July 10, 2010 Share Posted July 10, 2010 The pressure obviously gets to him for the final. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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