Very interesting! This inspired me to give it a go myself.
So here we go:
So they are going with a balanced 4-2-3-1. There is space between the central defenders and the midfielders and between the wide players.
I will play my playmaker in the AM position.
Their right wing back, Janko, seems a bit more advanced than the rest of their defence so I guess he will be more attacking. Checking his profile and see PPM's like "Gets forward whenever possible" and "Runs with ball down right" confirms this. On the same side, there is a BMW which tend to press aggressively, which again will open for space behind him.
I will play an attacking winger on my left side to exploit this.
They seem to want to crowd the middle of the final third with their inside forwards, advanced playmaker and B2B midfielder. I have to be wary of this. Especially on my left side where their attacking wing back will also be going up and down.
A CM(D) and a FB(S) is appointed to try to shut this down. I changed my mind with the CM(D), seeing they also got a pressing forward I decided to move my left midfielder down to DM position and give him the DM(D) role to really help out my defense.
My plan of attack is to exploit the space on their right side by using as mentioned a W(A) on my left side. To emphasize this I want to try to drag the defenders away from that area as well.
My striker will have a DLF(S) role. Hoping that he will drag the central defenders out of position before passing either directly to my attacking winger or to my playmaker who then will make the next pass. The winger will then go for goal himself or make a cross to the other side where there hopefully will be space for my inside forward to exploit.
My formation ends up like this:
A bit disappointing draw. We were leading 2-1 and I changed my B2B to a CM(S) to help out the midfield more.
Late in the match, they changed to a 4-2-4. I tried to counter with moving my playmaker to the DM position with the DLP(D) role which now had a lot of space. Moved the AMC down to CM with a CM(S) role and changed the other CM(S) back to a B2B. But in the 89th minute, they managed to score and the match dragged out until the final whistle. Summary:
We had a lot of long shots which indicates that my players did not have enough support or passing options. Here are the match stats:
But I'm not giving up. I want to learn from this and keep going. So any input is helpful.
Was my analysis of their formation and weaknesses/strengths correct?
Did I come up with a good game plan?
Did I choose the right formation for the task?
Was my choice of roles reasonable?
Should I have reacted differently when they changed their formation?