Matshit

Members
  • Content count

    237
  • Joined

  • Last visited

About Matshit

  • Rank
    Amateur
  • Birthday
  1. So I am playing as Roma, and have a pretty huge squad size. Because of that, I always play a friendly against some tiny club whenever there is internationals. Just to make sure everyone is in shape. My last of those matches was against Gubbio. A team in Serie D. A lot of my stars are gone. I am not sure what attendance numbers to expect for a match like that, but I would find it impressive if it was a four digit number. Most likely it would be played behind closed doors. I got 14717. This is the same for every friendly. For comparisons sake, in real life only 13000 showed up to watch Roma against Victoria Plzen. And for a normal pre-season friendly against Napoli, I got 44726. Even more than in my first league match of the season, and only 4000 less than in the league match against the same team. I am not sure what the exact numbers are in real life, but this seems very excessive.
  2. I find it a bit absurd that they needed to add Brexit "for realism", but the changes to the Champions League are not added to the game.
  3. There is a bigger than 0% chance of English teams winning the Champions League five years in a row from now. It is unlikely, but it might happen. When enough people play Football Manager, it will happen in some games. It requires a bigger sample size than one game to say it is a problem. In my game, the three big Portugese teams has turned into the dominant force in Europe at the moment.
  4. All of this is completely irrelevant. I ran a quick calculation of how big the correlation was. For possession: In real life in Italy there is a correlation between the possession table and position in the table of 0,66. Meaning there is some correlation between them, but not an extreme one. In my game this number is -0,15. That means the possession table is about as related to the actual table as just putting the teams in random order. The small correlation there is, actually say that having possession is actually a negative thing, but that could very well be influenced by my own team. For shots per game: In real life there is a correlation of 0,83. In other words a very large correlation, meaning that number of shots on goal per game have a huge influence on where you end up in the table. In the game this is down to 0.46. That is a gigantic difference, and if other tests can show similar results for both possession and shots that should be a concern.
  5. 57% is a lot. In last season in the Premier League, only one team managed more. And yes, there are tons of other statistics that will impact as well, but again there is a huge correlation between shots on target and winning matches. This correlation is a lot lower in my game, and if that is more than a statistical fluke it should be something to worry about. And this isn't me not winning, or anything. I am not looking at my own matches at all. I have the lowest possession and the highest amount of shots on target, and I have no issue with that.
  6. That is just completely wrong. It is like saying a person with 5 dice isn't a favorite to get a big number over one with 2. Yeah, there will be times when the one with 2 dice win, but if you run 100 tests, the one with 5 dice is expected to win a huge percentage of the time. Same with shots. If you look at a match statistic and see that one team has 15 shots and the other 5, you should be able to predict with a pretty high certainty which team won the match. The team with the most possession IS most likely to win, and the team with the most shots IS most likely to win. That is just statistical facts. Over a big sample size, this should also be reflected in the game.
  7. No, one of the ranking FM lists are accuracy. There is a different ranking for total shots on target. And listing total shots and listing average shots per game would give the same ranking as long as the teams have played the same amount of matches. Your stats look way better than they do in my game, although still a bit flakey, but it is a bit hard to tell when it is sorted by shot%
  8. Absolutely, but if you think that is my issue, you have misunderstood completely. There are tons of things that should have some sort of connection to the league table (most money spent, highest wages, highest average CA, highest reputation), but shouldn't be completely co-related. My issue isn't that there are teams who have weird statistics compared to results, it is that there seem to be no connection at all. Looking at the possession or shots on target statistics IRL, they are clearly somewhat/very co-related to doing well. In the game there seems to be no co-relation at all. In England, which is ran on low detail, there seems to be a much bigger co-relation. The possession table is 2, 1, 4, 3, 7 with Liverpool who are in 8. place and bottom of the possession table as the big outlier. For shots on target it is 2, 1, 4, 7, 3. This time with Liverpool in 6. place. Newcastle is the biggest outlier here with an 11. place, but a 5. place on the real table. That seems more like real life. A clear connection between having possession and getting shots on target with getting points, but not a complete 100% connection.
  9. So, I was looking through the team statistics in the Serie A (the league I am playing in), and I noticed how the shots on target and possession stats clearly lacked any sort of consistency. To take the possession stat. The highest is Trapani. They are 18. in the league. The next teams are 6, 4, 20, 15, 1, 13, 16. Which seems about as random as possible. In real life (according to whoscored) the same stat is 3, 2, 9, 7, 1, 6, 14. Still somewhat random, but much more weighted towards the big teams. If you look at shots on target, I am leading that myself (2. place). The next teams are 18, 1, 6, 12, 10 and 20. If you again compare to whoscored the rank is 3, 2, 1, 9, 4, 7. 6. Pretty similar to the actual league table. Looking at this, there are obviously two teams that really look out of place. Trapani in 18. and Atalanta in 20. Now, this could of course be due to tactical choices, but Trapanis coach like last season has playing style: long and playing mentality: cautious. Atalantas coach has both as mixed. Neither should indicate that the coach is the new Guardiola or the new Zeman. Now, I fully accept that possession or shots per game isn't a 100% guarantee that you play good, but I would imagine it should be more than this. Is this a known issue? Is it just in my game? How does it look in your games?
  10. If anyone feels a bit out of shape after christmas feasts, remember that there is always hope.
  11. Yes, that is the whole point. The board confidence summation is [Overall confidence], [Biggest positive], [Biggest negative]. Adding some programming that they won't tell you the biggest negative if the overall confidence is high enough just seems silly.
  12. It is a media description. Media doesn't see CA. Maybe Veltman has had a fantastic season, or a big world cup or similar. And in classic media style, any new player joining Premier League is labeled as World class.
  13. The question is if he would do the same if it was after three lost matches. People do what they do with their own game, but I am pretty sure 99% of people who reload to get the same result as last time do it after they won the first match.
  14. I had a world class player from San Marino in one of my holiday saves. It is possible, just not very likely. A team full of them would be really hard. Your best bet for getting a decent national team from a weak nation would be to sign a lot of foreigners who aren't good enough for their own national team and hope some of them convert, but that is of course not as easy in every nation.