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Rob1981

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Posts posted by Rob1981

  1. 1 hour ago, Baptista_8 said:

    Is the stat that Southgate has managed us 24 times against top 10 ranked sides, and won only four games correct?

    FACT CHECK

    This stat is not true.  Repeat, not true.  Such is my devotion to Gareth that I've found a site with all the historic FIFA rankings on it, and married this up against all our match dates.

    Games against Top 10 (Top 10 at the time we played them) = 20
    Wins = 5
    Draws = 7
    Losses = 8

    Losses include the dead rubber group game against Belgium and the third place playoff, also Nations League games when we were rotating players.  Wins came against Switzerland (2018 friendly), Spain & Croatia (Nations League), Belgium (Nations League), Denmark (Euros).  But excludes the wins against Croatia and Germany at Euro 2020 because they were just outside the top 10 at the time.

    And want to talk about PROGRESS?

    Up to and including WC 2018 our Top 10 success rate was:
    P7, W0, D3, L4

    Post WC2018 it is:
    P13, W5, D4, L4

    Same. Old. Southgate.

  2. 19 minutes ago, GunmaN1905 said:

    all I'm trying to say is that I believe England's attacking potential is ridiculous and that you should've been playing way more progressive football against top teams ... we'll see if Southgate will grow a pair come EURO.

    But we did play more progressive football :D

    We went toe to toe with one of the best two teams in the competition.  More shots, more possession, more corners, more passes.  By any objective measure we were equal to them, if not better.  Watch any of the highlights reels and there were more England chances than France chances.  We went into that game believing we could win it instead of just hoping that we might.  And for large parts we looked like we deserved to.  So I'm sorry, but the "same old Southgate" stuff is just lazy.

    Fact is, you'd made your mind up about Southgate before we'd kicked a ball.  I mean, I'd made my mind up too.  But if we'd lost 3-0 to France I would have admitted I was wrong.  Whereas if we'd beaten France 3-0 you would say it was because they "bottled it", or because Mbappe had an off day, or because they had too many players out, or because we relied too much on set pieces or because Sterling got a soft penalty or something.

  3. Just now, skybluedave said:

    I think most people accept its not a lottery?

    It’s not, but it’s really lazy to say Argentina have a 86% success rate and Italy have a 25% success rate, therefore Argentina must have done something right every time and Italy must be doing something wrong.

    You’re comparing a handful of shootouts spread over a period of 30+ years, with different players and different managers and different amounts of preparation. Also different contexts in terms of how the preceding 120 minutes have gone.

    Instead of looking by country, you might find more of a pattern if you looked at which teams had more club-level penalty takers to pick from at the time, or who had the keeper with the better penalty save ratio, or which teams went first, or which teams had the momentum because they had come from behind in normal play or something.

    In the whole of WC history there have still only been about 30-35 shootouts altogether so it’s a tiny sample size to look at either way.

  4. 30 minutes ago, GunmaN1905 said:

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    I just never understood how can people say penalties are a lottery.

    Im not saying you can’t prepare for penalties, but where Italy, England and Netherlands have got 1 win and 3 losses these are pretty small sample sizes :D

    It’s like tossing a coin and getting three heads and one tail and going “I’ve never understood how people can say it’s got two sides”.

  5. 21 hours ago, pearcey_90 said:

    Italy X2 are the only meaningful games we have till the next Euros kicks off. Rest of the teams in the group are poor

    I reckon we’ve got one free date for a friendly in October because we are in a qualifying group with eight teams instead of a qualifying group with ten teams. We’ve already put a friendly in with Scotland for our free date in September, but that still leaves one slot spare.

    So quite likely we get Germany here I guess, since most other big teams will have qualifiers of their own and won’t have the date free.

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