Jongi Posted June 8, 2012 Share Posted June 8, 2012 I remember this being done for one of the previous tournaments. I may have even started one previously. Would you make money if you bet on the favoured result for each match? I’ll assume a notional £10 bet on each match. I’ll try and get bet365.com odds at 12pm each day for that day’s matches. Calendar reminded put in phone. Hopefully I won’t fade. So we kick off with: Poland v Greece – (1:2.00 X:3.20 2:4.33) Russia v Czech republic – (1:2.40 X:3.10 2:3.25) TIE RESULTS Tie 1 : Loss Tie 2: Win CUMULATIVE RESULT Profit : £4 Wager : £20 Effective Odds : 1.20 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jongi Posted June 10, 2012 Author Share Posted June 10, 2012 So today we had Holland v Denmark - (1:1.75 2:3.40 3:5.00) Germany v Portugal - (1:2.20 2:3.30 3:3.50) TIE RESULTS Tie 1 : Loss Tie 2 : Win CUMULATIVE RESULT Profit : £6 Wager : £40 Effective Odds : 1.15 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Razzler Posted June 10, 2012 Share Posted June 10, 2012 Cool. I am sure there was a guy in Holland that bet on Ajax all season, not sure if he won by the end of it though with short odds and that vs occasional matches not winning Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jongi Posted June 10, 2012 Author Share Posted June 10, 2012 That's interesting. I would also imagine the short odds kill you when you don't get the win. In fact given the draw factor that's not a great strategy. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Razzler Posted June 10, 2012 Share Posted June 10, 2012 This must have been a good 4 or 5 years back but I think it was fairly well known, perhaps some Dutch remember it Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueglobefootball123 Posted June 10, 2012 Share Posted June 10, 2012 An old mate of mine used to bet big everyweek on rangers and Celtic to win their weekly matches (this was probably about 8 or so years ago). Reckoned he used to be win a fair bit over the course of the season ( so he told is anyways) Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
scotty206 Posted June 10, 2012 Share Posted June 10, 2012 Wont work long term unfortunately. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jongi Posted June 10, 2012 Author Share Posted June 10, 2012 The third day had Spain v Italy - (1:1.80 2:3.50 3:5.00) Ireland v Croatia - (1:4.00 2:3.10 3:2.10) TIE RESULTS Tie 1 : Loss Tie 2 : Win CUMULATIVE RESULT Profit : £7 Wager : £60 Effective Odds : 1.12 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingjericho Posted June 10, 2012 Share Posted June 10, 2012 It's working! Not much, but it's working. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jongi Posted June 10, 2012 Author Share Posted June 10, 2012 As it turns out, after the first game of each day day, the strategy has been loss making. it seems the later kick-off is the best so far for the favoured result. so far the team listed first by bet365 (except for Croatia) has been favoured to win. And for each of the first games of the day, that team has not won. Thus far bet365 lists [b]France[/b] v England ([b]1:2.40[/b] 2:3.10 3:3.25 a draw at least on the cards for England Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jongi Posted June 12, 2012 Author Share Posted June 12, 2012 Day 4 France v England - (1:2.50 2:3.00 3:3.25) Ukraine v Sweden - (1:2.625 2:3.25 3:2.80) TIE RESULTS Tie 1 : Loss Tie 2 : Win CUMULATIVE RESULT Profit : £13.25 Wager : £80 Effective Odds : 1.17 Pattern repeated where Tie 1 is a loss and Tie 2 wins helping England to the draw mentioned above. When will the trend turn? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
RubenJ Posted June 12, 2012 Share Posted June 12, 2012 you put croatia there instead of sweden Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jongi Posted June 12, 2012 Author Share Posted June 12, 2012 Thanks. I'd copied the template fro the previous day's matches. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jongi Posted June 13, 2012 Author Share Posted June 13, 2012 Day 5 gave us: Greece v Czech Republic - (1:3.40 2:3.20 3:2.30) Poland v Russia - (1:3.10 2:3.25 3:2.40) TIE RESULTS Tie 1 : Win Tie 2 : Lose CUMULATIVE RESULT Profit : £16.25 Wager : £100 Effective Odds : 1.16[/b] Trend reversed. Steady progress being made.But can be wiped out by one day with no positive results. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jongi Posted June 14, 2012 Author Share Posted June 14, 2012 Day 6: Denmark v Portugal - (1:4.75 2:3.50 3:1.833) Holland v Germany - (1:3.00 2:3.40 3:2.40) TIE RESULTS Tie 1 : Win Tie 2 : Win CUMULATIVE RESULT Profit : £38.58 Wager : £120 Effective Odds : 1.32 First time both ties have resulted in a win. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jongi Posted June 15, 2012 Author Share Posted June 15, 2012 Day 7: Italy v Croatia - (1:2.40 2:3.20 3:3.20) Spain v Italy - (1:1.25 2:6.00 3:13.00) TIE RESULTS Tie 1 : Lose Tie 2 : Win CUMULATIVE RESULT Profit : £31.08 Wager : £140 Effective Odds : 1.22 Ireland smash the longest odds to win. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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