Converting one-on-ones

Hypothetical situation.

You have a striker with 20 finishing, 20 composure and relatively good other striker related stats.

He has 10 one-on-one chances in a home league game against a mid-table Premiership quality goalkeeper.

How many of those one-on-one chances do you think he should score?

hmmmm depends on how he has tied his laces...

If he misses the first the likelihood of missing the next goes up.

Same as if he scores the first he'll be more likely to put the next one away.

I think around 7. From my Sunderland game Gyan and Bent both scored around 50 percent of their one on ones, my newgen striker with 18 for most attacking attributes probably scores 6/10.

The question is far too ambiguous, finishing and composure even in combination with 'other striking related stats' aren't enough to judge the likelihood of scoring from 1 on 1 situations. His hidden stats like big games, pressure etc along with even seemingly quite unrelated things like bravery and injury proneness could all be argued for as factors: eg. Striker gets 1v1 and keeper is rushing out to narrow the angle, sure finishing + composure being 20 on the face of it makes it a stick on goal, but if he has injury proneness 15+ on top of handling pressure and bravery <5 you'd start to fancy his chances a lot less.

I know it's more complicated that the question asks. I've tried to simplify it to get the general publics feel for what a top striker's conversion rate should be as there have been several threads complaining about finishing chances.

Although I've never seen anything before that indicates that injury proneness or bravery has anything to do with the situations. Have you got a source for that?

i'd say about 6, people who voted 2, he said world class striker, not heskey or rooney

I'd say hypothetically, put on goal, 30 yards from goal, middle of goal, defenders 5-10 yards behind him, should score 7/8.

I would like him to score at least 5 or 6 in RL but in the game, the way the match engine works and they converted the majority you would be gettin silly results such as 9-8 etc, i would like to see fewer one on ones but more of the few one on ones converted

FM tries to mimic reality. If you want top strikers to score 8/10, 9/10 or 10/10 of their 1-on-1, you have to go around telling the top strikers in this world to score their chances like that.

I would say 5-6 as a minimum, but really, a real life game where one team creates 10 clear one on one chances would be quite something.

Wait, if the game went solely on stats, wouldn't the game become a little bit too predictable with Barca winning the Champ league every season with their current players?

anyone that got a 20 for finishing has that stat because irl he would be capable of scoring the vast majority of 1 on 1's he is allowed. rvn, ronaldo (r9) etc would surely score over 70% of 1v1's. imo the best of strikers should be scoring 9/10 1v1's which are usually considered a great chance to score, that doesn not happen often irl (at highest levels of play).

what is the importance of the finishing stat then, if mental attributes and technical attributes etc has a higher weighting on whether he scores 1v1's or not?

I wanna answer but I think that there are more factors involved.

If all things are perfect and the stars have aligned etc. then I think you could definitely get 7+/10

Its really tough to answer one on ones for so many reasons but if you take something more fixed - penalties for instance.

81% were scored during a match at the last World Cup.

66% were scored during shootouts.

if goals scored 'on average' reflect RL, then I think things should stay the way they are.

That's the prob, it's supposed to be football, not cricket. It's the match engine, it generates too many 1v1 chances I think.

Was it 08 where people were screaming left and right that scores ended up 4-3, 5-4 most of the time because finishing is too good?

Maybe if each match only create 3 1-on-1 in total then we can have those super finishing. But it would be a very boring game.

Was it 08 where people were screaming left and right that scores ended up 4-3, 5-4 most of the time because finishing is too good?

Maybe if each match only create 3 1-on-1 in total then we can have those super finishing. But it would be a very boring game.

and that is what we need. The game to create less 1-1's and for the players to score on many many more of them. It's really stupid as it is right now, football players really dont miss that many 1 on 1's.